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Author Topic:   Report Claims that Mars Mission Missed Microbes
Erik Christensen
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posted January 11, 2007 05:05 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Erik Christensen     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/070108_mars_viking.html

Very interesting information.

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Charles Pegge
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posted January 11, 2007 06:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Charles Pegge     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extremophile


Final paragraph intriguing, so:

http://www.panspermia.org/intro.htm


which makes me wonder whether we share ancestry with Klingons,
Vogons, Jedi, Time Lords and the like.

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Erik Christensen
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posted January 12, 2007 05:32 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Erik Christensen     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Even if the panspermia theory may have some merit, the first life must have originated from matter in a given spot. The fact that life forms can exist in extreme environments seems to me to support an inherent ability of matter to develop life in certain environments given the sufficient time.

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Charles Pegge
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posted January 12, 2007 06:18 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Charles Pegge     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Just a matter of probabilities given that the Universe is 13.5 billion
years old and the earth is only 4.5. There was ample opportunity for
extraterrestial 'seeding' from material originating from an older
planet.


It is intriguing that we seem to have ended up with a aingle
encoding system - the instruction set of 22 amino acids.
Does this mean that life had a single point of origin or is this
the only chemically stable system that works.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amino_acid

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[This message has been edited by Charles Pegge (edited January 12, 2007).]

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Ian Cairns
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posted January 12, 2007 02:10 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Ian Cairns     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
When you talk about the probability of life originating from chance, you have to use real science and not musings and speculation. Unfortunately for some, the facts indicate that it is impossible (read the quoted section). The alternative, that it was designed by a Great Designer who cannot be contained in the Universe He created is unpalatable to many. But it is the only alternate explanation of the facts.
quote:
The probability of the chance formation of a hypothetical functional ‘simple’ cell, given all the ingredients, is acknowledged to be worse than 1 in 10^57800. This is a chance of 1 in a number with 57,800 zeros. It would take 11 full pages of magazine type to print this number. To try to put this in perspective, there are about 10^80 (a number with 80 zeros) electrons in the universe. Even if every electron in our universe were another universe the same size as ours that would ‘only’ amount to 10^160 electrons.

These numbers defy our ability to comprehend their size. Fred Hoyle, British mathematician and astronomer, has used analogies to try to convey the immensity of the problem. For example, Hoyle said the probability of the formation of just one of the many proteins on which life depends is comparable to that of the solar system packed full of blind people randomly shuffling Rubik’s cubes all arriving at the solution at the same time —and this is the chance of getting only one of the 400 or more proteins of the hypothetical minimum cell proposed by the evolutionists (real world ‘simple’ bacteria have about 2,000 proteins and are incredibly complex). As Hoyle points out, the program of the cell, encoded on the DNA, is also needed. In other words, life could not form by natural (random) processes.



from Cheating with chance

regards, Ian Cairns

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Charles Pegge
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posted January 12, 2007 02:51 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Charles Pegge     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
This is a fallacious statistic since it assumes that a cell would
have to come into existance all at once without intermediate stages.

There are a many high probability biochemical events starting with the
polymerisation of nucleic acids and the growth of organic
crystalline forms, before you get to a truly self replicating
organism.

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Ian Cairns
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posted January 12, 2007 03:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Ian Cairns     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Sorry Charles, your argument is fallacious. It doesn't matter how many steps you break it down into, you still have to produce the same amount of information and you still have the same number of electrons in the universe. If anything passes the 10^80 barrier, you can regard it as impossible unless an outside agency is adding the information.
regards, Ian Cairns

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Nick Luick
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posted January 12, 2007 04:33 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Nick Luick     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Looks like the Great Designer didn't take into account a women's nature to get her way, or sibling rivalry. All this in the 1st and 2nd generation. I think Adam should have had the option of keeping the Garden, and divorcing Eve, but then again it was a arranged relationship.

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Charles Pegge
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posted January 12, 2007 05:12 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Charles Pegge     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Ian,
evolution works on parallel probabilities for each developmental
step. with millions of trillions of little experiments in parallel
for every step made.

But your figure is based on serial probabilities.

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Ian Cairns
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posted January 12, 2007 08:03 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Ian Cairns     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Charles, first of all, no-one can claim to know how 'evolution works', because it doesn't. That is a statement taken strictly on 'faith', not scientific evidence. Second, your premise is in error. Serial or parallel makes no difference. You still can't obtain the accumulated end result because you have a finite system. There are still only 10^80 electrons to work with.
Example. You have 1000 employees. Your customer expects you to produce 1 million widgets in a week's time. It takes 24 man hours to make a widget. Each widget has 23 parts. Each part takes 1 hour to manufacture and it takes 1 hour for final assembly. No matter how you break it down, and even if your workers work 24/7, you can still only manufacture 1000 (1000 x24 man hours per day/24 hours per widget) widgets a day. 7000 a week. Your customer is doomed to dissapointment, and you would be foolish to promise what is impossible to perform.
regards, Ian Cairns

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IRC

[This message has been edited by Ian Cairns (edited January 12, 2007).]

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Stan Durham
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posted January 12, 2007 08:12 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Stan Durham     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Ian, your numbers are a little dated.

Back in the day, scientist felt there was a possibility, although extremely large, life could have happened by chance under perfect conditions.
There were a lot of mathematical models demonstrating the whole process.

That’s all out the window.
Recent advancements of our understandings of the complexity of the simplest cell have proven those propositions impossible.

There are currently no known locations on earth where it would be possible for the simplest known form of life to have happened.

Then came 'prebiotic soup'.
“heterotrophic organism which could obtain energy from compounds in the soup and lead eventually through Darwinian evolution” (1)
(This refers to those stories of scientist claiming to have created a precursor to life in a test tube. - Miller-Urey experiment)

That’s all out the window now.
“Research in recent years has challenged all aspects of this paradigm as well as the assumptions on which it is based.” (1)

That’s NOT to say that Prebiotic Chemistry is out the window of consideration.

Prebiotic Chemistry is the current focus.

Prebiodites (made the word up) are RNA molecules that many evolutionary scientists believe may have been the precursor to the first cell.

It’s only speculation that these guys ever existed. (3)
‘’’ This process can retrieve molecules present in as few as one in 1 x 1015 sequences, which suggests that careful design may allow 'resuscitation' of active RNA molecules that have been 'extinct' for over three billion years, if they ever 'lived' at all. ’’’(2)

There are no known Prebiodites; it’s believed that the first forms of life on earth destroyed them. (food source, I guess)

That’s what NASA’s”Origin of Life” mission is about, Prebiodites.
(They’re also looking for spores and other possibilities, spores considered more remote than Prebiotic Chemistry)

Why Mars?
Mars is similar to Earth in many regards.
If the process of Life ever got started on Mars, it would be in a far more retarded state than Earth.
Because it’s believed that the first forms of life on Earth destroyed all Prebiodites, they hope to find a representation of Prebiotic Chemistry on Mars.

Harvard’s ''Origins of Life in the Universe Initiative" seems also centered around Prebiotic Chemistry.

The current correct formula; 1/0.


(1) Prepared by the Exobiology Program Office, NASA HQ “An Exobiological Strategy For Mars Exploration” (paper written by 18 NASA scientist) http://cmex.ihmc.us/Exo_Strat/exo_strat.html
(2) Dept of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.
(3) Scientist don’t move it beyond a hypothesis, however it’s presented to the general public as a fact. “These experiments now provide a wonderful setting for exploring the basic process of evolution at its most fundamental level - a single molecule - as well as providing a window onto the set of building blocks and constraints that would have defined many events in prebiotic evolution.”

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Ian Cairns
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posted January 12, 2007 08:18 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Ian Cairns     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Stan. What you say is true, but the armchair quarterbacks are still working from premises they don't know are faulty. They aren't ready to wrap their minds around specified complexity.
regards, Ian Cairns

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Stan Durham
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posted January 12, 2007 08:39 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Stan Durham     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I wasn’t really trying to correct your formula, Ian.
Just give it little more juice.

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David Roberts
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posted January 12, 2007 10:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for David Roberts     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I don't understand the argument that the lesser the likelihood that an event can occur the greater the likelihood that it was created given that the event has actually occurred.

Suppose we have a Big Bang cycle. Bang, explode, implode then Crunch. Just before the last gasp the universe has a history according to the time taken from the Bang to just before the last gasp. At the last gasp time ceases, the temporal dimension, as do the spatial dimensions. Right, last have another Bang. This one is number two. We can only determine that if the number one was put in storage somewhere but there was no where to put it at the last Bang's last gasp. All the information about the last Bang was lost at the Crunch. There is no evidence that it ever existed. From our perspective it didn't. For all we know there may have been 10^57800 of them and from our perspective none of them existed - they came and went in no time at all.

The odds of winning the UK lottery are about 14 million to one against. To keep the argument simple all I have to do then is play it 14 million times and I win.

God does not "play dice".

He didn't have to.

Do I believe the above to be true? Nope. Do I believe in God the Creator? Nope. Given a choice which would I back? The above.

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Charles Pegge
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posted January 12, 2007 11:41 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Charles Pegge     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Examples of evolution we need to track in real-time:


    HIV
    MRSA
    TB

Given its algorithmic nature, evolution also applies to other
systems:


    Integrated circuits
    Computer Software ( evolution doesnt have to be totally random )
    Scientific Ideas and Concepts
    Religions!

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